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Red63
914718.4
477428.6
998816.0
Blue80
997311.2
1000218.8
998510.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7333020601001201401606380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+1
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
31Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
14Foul points30
63Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.0
30.129.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
red by 9.7
18.81.3
14.615.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Second
9147
#31
18.41.0
18.117.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 7.2
9973
#11
11.22.1
5.27.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
Third
9988
#26
16.01.7
10.08.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
red by 5.6
9985
#29
10.42.1
5.77.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned