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Red32
99817.3
598815.5
914718.4
Blue51
998013.4
533111.6
99909.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801003251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +10
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
16Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
32Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9147
#31
18.40.6
17.116.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 5.0
9980
#23
13.42.7
9.512.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Second
5988
#13
15.50.6
13.112.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 3.8
5331
#18
11.61.6
8.810.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
9981
#16
7.31.0
7.76.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 1.9
9990
#10
9.22.7
5.98.6
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed