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Red37
472914.3
75837.5
716311.6
Blue42
99757.1
643413.2
650817.9
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334402060801001203742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
12Foul points0
37Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4729
#24
14.30.6
15.615.0
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 3.6
6508
#30
17.90.5
17.317.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Second
7163
#27
11.60.6
11.811.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 1.6
6434
#25
13.20.5
12.713.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
7583
#32
7.50.6
6.66.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 0.4
9975
#12
7.10.8
5.25.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed