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Red64
998714.6
861336.5
997311.2
Blue82
558455.5
587613.3
473931.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671020501506482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
18Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
40Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
64Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#14
36.50.3
37.938.2
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
blue by 18.9
55.51.7
54.552.8
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
Second
9987
#28
14.60.4
14.815.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 16.9
31.51.7
28.526.7
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
Third
9973
#11
11.20.4
7.37.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
blue by 2.2
5876
#15
13.31.7
13.211.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned