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Red84
998510.4
558455.5
998013.4
Blue87
651049.8
99757.1
533111.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86752040601001201408487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
48Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points12
84Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
52.853.5
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
red by 5.6
49.80.5
50.951.5
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
Second
9980
#23
13.41.2
12.213.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
red by 1.7
5331
#18
11.60.5
10.410.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
9985
#29
10.41.2
7.99.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
red by 3.3
9975
#12
7.10.8
5.96.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned