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Red135
473931.5
743352.3
998816.0
Blue42
643413.2
716311.6
99817.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1092905010015020013542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+85Teleop
+93Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +62
18Coral scored#7
64Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
92Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#2
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points0
135Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.32.9
47.550.3
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
red by 39.1
6434
#25
13.20.4
13.213.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Second
31.52.9
26.729.6
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
red by 19.9
7163
#27
11.60.4
11.211.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Third
9988
#26
16.04.5
11.516.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
red by 8.6
9981
#16
7.30.6
6.87.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed