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Red86
587613.3
1000218.8
998317.1
Blue61
914718.4
75837.5
556416.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801001201408661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+7Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
52Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
18Foul points0
86Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.6
17.819.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 0.4
9147
#31
18.41.4
16.517.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Second
9983
#22
17.12.5
11.714.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 0.9
5564
#21
16.22.2
13.916.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Third
5876
#15
13.31.6
11.513.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
red by 5.9
7583
#32
7.51.4
6.07.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned