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Red103
313255.6
598533.3
99909.2
Blue50
861336.5
472914.3
477428.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048320406012014016010350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+61Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
36Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
61Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
103Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.7
52.953.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 19.1
8613
#14
36.52.2
38.236.0
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Second
33.30.7
30.831.5
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
red by 4.8
28.62.2
29.227.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Third
9990
#10
9.21.1
8.69.7
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 5.1
4729
#24
14.32.2
15.012.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned