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Red75
743352.3
998413.7
998510.4
Blue41
914718.4
99757.1
473931.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96640501502007541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
53Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
8Foul points6
75Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.0
47.247.2
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
red by 20.8
31.51.2
23.422.2
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
Second
9984
#17
13.70.1
8.18.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 4.7
9147
#31
18.41.2
19.318.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Third
9985
#29
10.40.1
8.18.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
red by 3.3
9975
#12
7.11.7
8.16.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed