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Red84
533111.6
997311.2
313255.6
Blue28
556416.2
99909.2
643413.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054701502008428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+44Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#2
37Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
45Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#2
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
84Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.0
51.051.0
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 39.4
5564
#21
16.21.2
14.112.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Second
5331
#18
11.60.0
18.818.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
blue by 1.6
6434
#25
13.20.8
16.916.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
9973
#11
11.20.0
8.18.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
red by 2.0
9990
#10
9.21.2
8.16.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned