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Red58
716311.6
598815.5
587613.3
Blue83
472914.3
598533.3
998714.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801001201405883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +41
2Coral scored#9
7Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
24Foul points2
58Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5988
#13
15.50.2
11.010.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 17.9
33.32.3
24.827.1
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
Second
5876
#15
13.30.2
14.914.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
blue by 1.2
9987
#28
14.63.8
5.99.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
7163
#27
11.60.2
10.710.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 2.8
4729
#24
14.32.6
15.818.4
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned