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Red102
598533.3
598815.5
473931.5
Blue126
914718.4
651049.8
861336.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75115050100150200250102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
5Coral scored#8
26Coral points38
32Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
54Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
102Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.5
32.833.3
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
blue by 16.5
49.80.5
49.349.7
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
Second
31.50.5
31.031.5
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
blue by 5.0
8613
#14
36.50.5
36.036.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Third
5988
#13
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 2.9
9147
#31
18.40.5
17.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4