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Red137
998510.4
558455.5
743352.3
Blue88
598533.3
598815.5
473931.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277405010015020025013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+51Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#9
71Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
81Total teleop48
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#4
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
137Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
53.754.2
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
red by 22.1
33.30.2
32.632.8
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
Second
52.30.6
50.551.0
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
red by 20.8
31.50.2
30.731.0
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
Third
9985
#29
10.40.8
7.88.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 5.1
5988
#13
15.50.2
14.715.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2