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Red173
998317.1
461367.8
313255.6
Blue69
477428.6
1000218.8
472914.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15845010020025017369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+94Teleop
+104Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +77
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points27
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
24Processor points6
28Net points8
52Algae points14
118Total teleop41
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +104
0Foul points0
173Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.9
66.066.8
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 39.2
28.60.2
27.727.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Second
55.60.9
53.854.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 36.8
18.80.2
18.018.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Third
9983
#22
17.11.2
14.415.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 2.7
4729
#24
14.30.2
13.513.7
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7