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Red7
533118.8
1050813.4
711312.3
Blue42
649728.2
1034220.1
1055213.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163204080100120742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
0Total teleop29
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
7Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5331
#25
18.85.6
19.714.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
blue by 9.5
28.212.0
28.216.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
Second
13.41.2
13.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
blue by 6.7
20.13.9
20.116.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Third
7113
#35
12.35.6
17.812.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 1.0
13.32.9
13.316.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed