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Red52
473923.4
598811.0
650820.8
Blue20
587615.2
1031618.1
914612.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62642030405070805220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+24Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#1
17Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
23Total teleop5
Reef
3L4#0
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#1
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points6
52Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.9
15.514.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 5.2
18.15.0
18.113.1
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
6508
#11
20.80.9
24.023.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 5.7
5876
#17
15.24.7
19.214.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Third
5988
#26
11.00.9
14.813.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
blue by 1.6
9146
#33
12.64.7
19.214.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed