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Red20
477434.7
643416.9
Blue21
472915.8
716315.5
918911.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765402040601001202021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
20Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#13
34.75.2
27.422.2
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
red by 18.9
4729
#28
15.83.1
16.112.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
Second
6434
#24
16.95.2
19.214.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9
red by 1.5
7163
#23
15.53.1
17.914.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
6.85.8
6.812.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 4.7
9189
#18
11.53.1
15.212.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed