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Red61
313242.0
958715.0
1043710.5
Blue32
64329.4
712821.9
564810.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74572040801001206132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
35Total teleop7
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
14Foul points0
61Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.8
29.327.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
red by 20.1
7128
#10
21.92.2
17.715.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
9587
#12
15.01.8
16.414.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 4.6
5648
#38
10.42.2
15.713.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
10.55.5
10.516.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
red by 1.1
6432
#32
9.42.2
18.115.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned