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Red91
743347.2
1031618.1
608319.4
Blue42
1050813.4
918911.5
75839.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions813302040601001201401609142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+47Teleop
+43Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +53
16Coral scored#4
59Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
77Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points0
91Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7433
#8Sur
47.20.5
28.929.5
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 33.8
13.40.0
13.013.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
6083
#16
19.40.5
23.724.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 7.9
9189
#18
11.50.0
10.010.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
18.10.5
16.517.0
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 8.6
7583
#37
9.50.0
12.912.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed