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Red26
91449.3
1035010.0
1043710.5
Blue66
650820.8
914719.3
477434.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466902060801001201402666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
4Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
12Foul points12
26Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.53.3
18.114.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 24.2
4774
#13
34.70.6
25.625.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
Second
10.03.3
12.49.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 10.8
6508
#11
20.80.6
19.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
9144
#36
9.33.3
13.09.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 9.9
9147
#21
19.30.6
14.413.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned