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Red66
1013122.0
647619.1
473923.4
Blue56
453725.4
961613.2
64329.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476002040801001206656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
47Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points4
66Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.3
14.615.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
blue by 2.0
4537
#31
25.41.3
19.618.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Second
22.01.3
21.422.7
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 8.7
9616
#41
13.21.3
14.913.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Third
6476
#22
19.11.3
9.210.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
red by 9.7
6432
#32
9.41.3
20.118.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned