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Red60
651045.2
914612.6
712821.9
Blue51
564810.4
699634.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69510204060801001201401606051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
35Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
60Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.2
34.434.2
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
red by 11.2
34.00.4
24.323.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
Second
7128
#10
21.90.2
14.914.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 11.5
5648
#38
10.40.4
11.310.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
9146
#33
12.60.2
12.512.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 5.8
6.80.4
12.712.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned