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Red53
1031618.1
1034220.1
598520.9
Blue70
478840.4
472915.8
958715.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59572040801005370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
43Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
53Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
20.90.3
20.821.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
blue by 19.5
40.41.7
29.230.9
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
Second
20.10.3
12.612.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
red by 4.3
4729
#28
15.81.7
13.715.4
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
Third
18.10.3
17.017.3
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 3.1
9587
#12
15.01.7
9.711.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed