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Red97
651045.2
64329.4
699634.0
Blue28
587615.2
1035010.0
716315.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions922604060801001201401609728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+57Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
43Total teleop9
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#4
BargeRed +16
26Cage & park10
26Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
12Foul points0
97Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.9
34.235.1
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
red by 29.7
7163
#23
15.50.2
11.211.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Second
34.00.9
23.924.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
red by 18.9
5876
#17
15.20.2
9.59.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Third
6432
#32
9.40.9
18.819.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
blue by 0.6
10.00.2
9.18.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed