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Red101
743347.2
650820.8
712821.9
Blue71
647619.1
1000222.8
1034220.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744702040608010012010171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+20Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
77Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
101Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.22.9
29.532.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 24.4
22.82.9
21.124.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
7128
#10
21.92.9
14.717.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 1.7
20.12.9
12.915.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Third
6508
#11
20.82.9
18.921.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 1.7
6476
#22
19.12.9
10.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed