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Red81
472915.8
558456.0
914719.3
Blue69
477434.7
914612.6
1050813.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755202040601001201408169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+14Teleop
+4Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
56Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
8Foul points0
81Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.7
37.738.4
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 21.3
4774
#13
34.72.1
25.027.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
Second
9147
#21
19.30.7
13.814.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 5.9
13.42.1
13.015.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Third
4729
#28
15.80.7
15.416.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
red by 3.2
9146
#33
12.62.1
12.314.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned