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Red38
716315.5
564810.4
647619.1
Blue52
914719.3
608319.4
1050813.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335902040801003852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
23Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
38Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6476
#22
19.10.6
13.414.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 0.3
6083
#16
19.40.2
21.021.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
7163
#23
15.50.6
11.011.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.2
blue by 3.8
9147
#21
19.30.2
14.514.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Third
5648
#38
10.40.6
8.18.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 3.0
13.40.2
15.115.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned