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Red27
712821.9
91449.3
Blue110
473923.4
649728.2
587615.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3357020408010027110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+47
Endgame+63
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +38
1Coral scored#9
5Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
5Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
12Foul points32
27Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#10
21.92.1
17.615.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
blue by 6.4
28.23.2
20.423.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
Second
9144
#36
9.32.1
6.94.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 14.0
23.43.2
19.322.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
6.82.1
9.17.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 8.3
5876
#17
15.23.2
9.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned