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Red77
75839.5
958715.0
743347.2
Blue28
914612.6
961613.2
472915.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67470204060801001207728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
50Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
77Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.22.0
32.334.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 31.3
4729
#28
15.81.9
16.114.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
Second
9587
#12
15.02.0
11.413.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 1.8
9616
#41
13.21.9
12.410.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Third
7583
#37
9.52.0
12.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
blue by 3.1
9146
#33
12.61.9
14.412.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed