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Red44
64329.4
650820.8
478840.4
Blue121
461359.4
533118.8
477434.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910120406012014016044121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+61
Endgame+83
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +55
5Coral scored#16
17Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
21Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
6Foul points0
44Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.43.9
31.327.4
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
blue by 19.0
59.43.7
46.249.9
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
Second
6508
#11
20.83.9
21.817.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 13.9
4774
#13
34.73.7
27.130.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
Third
6432
#32
9.43.9
19.715.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
blue by 9.3
5331
#25
18.83.7
14.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned