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Red22
587615.2
1043710.5
711312.3
Blue323
1000222.8
608319.4
918911.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307005010015020025022323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+301
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
1Coral scored#2
5Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
5Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +301
0Foul points296
22Total score323

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#17
15.21.1
12.511.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
blue by 7.6
22.83.6
24.120.5
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
7113
#35
12.31.1
7.06.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 7.1
6083
#16
19.43.6
21.117.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Third
10.51.1
12.211.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 1.0
9189
#18
11.53.6
14.010.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed