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Red87
1034220.1
914719.3
478840.4
Blue9
75839.5
64329.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72360206080100120879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +61
11Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
61Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
87Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.7
27.430.1
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
red by 30.9
7583
#37
9.53.1
14.211.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Second
20.12.7
20.523.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
red by 10.7
6432
#32
9.43.1
15.812.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Third
9147
#21
19.32.7
14.617.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 12.4
6.83.1
7.03.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed