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Red128
743347.2
558456.0
961613.2
Blue72
564810.4
1031618.1
533118.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10542020608012014016012872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+84Teleop
+80Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +76
16Coral scored#4
58Coral points16
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
24Processor points6
20Net points4
44Algae points10
102Total teleop26
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points24
128Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.03.8
43.046.8
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 37.2
5331
#25
18.80.0
18.318.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Second
47.23.8
34.338.1
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 29.0
18.10.0
15.715.7
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
9616
#41
13.23.8
10.414.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
red by 2.8
5648
#38
10.40.0
8.78.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed