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Red89
918911.5
651045.2
1013122.0
Blue34
914719.3
598811.0
75839.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714402060801001208934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#2
40Coral points7
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
56Total teleop11
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
89Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.22.5
37.840.3
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
red by 25.9
9147
#21
19.31.5
17.415.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Second
22.02.5
15.818.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End1.8
red by 10.9
5988
#26
11.01.5
16.114.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Third
9189
#18
11.52.5
10.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 2.0
7583
#37
9.51.5
11.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned