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Red33
1055213.3
64329.4
1000222.8
Blue58
1050813.4
91449.3
699634.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51522030406070803358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
12Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points6
33Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.8
21.519.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
blue by 11.2
34.00.3
30.530.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
Second
13.31.8
13.211.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 0.1
13.40.3
15.916.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Third
6432
#32
9.41.8
12.710.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
red by 0.1
9144
#36
9.30.3
2.83.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed