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Red60
453725.4
711312.3
914612.6
Blue87
743347.2
1043710.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416120801006087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+15
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
17Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
18Foul points30
60Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#31
25.40.2
19.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
blue by 21.8
47.20.6
38.137.6
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
9146
#33
12.60.2
14.214.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 2.1
10.50.6
11.110.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
7113
#35
12.30.2
6.06.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 5.4
6.80.6
3.93.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed