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Red102
558456.0
716315.5
1031618.1
Blue26
712821.9
587615.2
961613.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8942020608010012014010226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+52Teleop
+58Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
10Coral scored#1
35Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#3
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
18Foul points0
102Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.9
46.847.7
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 34.1
7128
#10
21.91.8
16.915.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
18.10.9
15.716.6
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 3.0
5876
#17
15.21.8
11.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Third
7163
#23
15.50.9
13.614.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.2
red by 2.3
9616
#41
13.21.8
14.212.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed