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Qual 512025 Southern Cross Regional
Red114
313242.0
914719.3
587615.2
Blue118
477434.7
711312.3
743347.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68804060100120114118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+38
Endgame+22
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
47Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +16
30Cage & park14
30Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
24Foul points6
114Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#7
42.02.8
37.9→40.7
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
blue by 5.2
7433
#8
47.23.7
37.6→41.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
9147
#21
19.32.8
15.9→18.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
blue by 15.4
4774
#13
34.73.7
29.3→33.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
Third
5876
#17
15.22.8
9.6→12.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
red by 2.9
7113
#35
12.33.7
6.2→9.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned