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Red34
1035010.0
453725.4
Blue96
472915.8
712821.9
533118.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29550204060801003496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+62
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#8
7Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
11Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points34
34Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#31
25.40.3
20.120.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
red by 3.6
7128
#10
21.91.4
15.116.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Second
10.00.3
7.88.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 8.8
5331
#25
18.81.4
18.219.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Third
6.80.3
3.33.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 9.0
4729
#28
15.81.4
15.316.7
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned