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Red103
1000222.8
461359.4
91449.3
Blue34
961613.2
75839.5
1031618.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9138020608010012014010334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+67Teleop
+79Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points9
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
14Coral scored#2
49Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
65Total teleop8
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points10
103Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.42.7
54.056.7
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 41.3
18.11.8
16.614.7
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
22.82.7
19.722.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 9.6
9616
#41
13.21.8
12.410.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Third
9144
#36
9.32.7
3.15.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 0.2
7583
#37
9.51.8
9.67.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed