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Red40
564810.4
1034220.1
918911.5
Blue84
1013122.0
699634.0
598520.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4580020601001204084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
5Coral scored#11
17Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
27Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
40Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.9
22.621.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
blue by 13.9
34.01.0
30.831.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
Second
9189
#18
11.50.9
12.912.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 10.5
22.01.0
18.319.2
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End1.8
Third
5648
#38
10.40.9
11.110.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 10.5
5985
#27
20.91.0
22.723.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned