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Red38
473923.4
914612.6
643416.9
Blue68
478840.4
647619.1
587615.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58662040801001203868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +22
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
22Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
38Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.8
24.022.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
blue by 17.0
40.40.6
32.633.2
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
Second
6434
#24
16.91.7
17.215.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9
blue by 2.2
6476
#22
19.10.6
17.418.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
9146
#33
12.61.8
14.412.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 2.5
5876
#17
15.20.5
12.412.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned