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Red101
958715.0
453725.4
477434.7
Blue40
608319.4
1035010.0
1055213.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79360206010012014016010140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+53Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
8Foul points0
101Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#13
34.71.9
33.034.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
red by 15.3
6083
#16
19.40.2
15.915.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
4537
#31
25.41.9
20.422.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
red by 12.1
13.30.2
12.111.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
9587
#12
15.01.9
14.916.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 5.0
10.00.2
8.17.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed