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Red38
598811.0
472915.8
1034220.1
Blue49
1043710.5
1000222.8
716315.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5444020801001201401603849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
26Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points18
38Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.4
21.620.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
blue by 2.7
22.81.3
22.421.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
4729
#28
15.81.4
16.715.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
red by 0.3
7163
#23
15.51.3
13.412.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
5988
#26
11.01.4
12.310.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
red by 0.5
10.51.3
8.26.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed