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Red115
558456.0
1000222.8
651045.2
Blue84
1013122.0
743347.2
453725.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8671020406010012014016011584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
83Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
115Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.03.9
27.631.5
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 8.8
47.22.3
25.928.2
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
45.23.9
28.332.3
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
red by 19.8
4537
#31
25.42.3
19.621.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Third
22.81.1
22.821.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 0.8
22.01.7
18.420.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned