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Red29
699634.0
75839.5
1035010.0
Blue22
608319.4
647619.1
598811.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6754204060801002922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
16Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
29Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.03.5
21.417.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
red by 14.6
6083
#16
19.43.3
20.517.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
10.04.3
10.014.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 9.1
6476
#22
19.13.3
14.811.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
7583
#37
9.53.5
18.715.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
blue by 1.5
5988
#26
11.03.3
13.910.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed