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Red81
743347.2
918911.5
643416.9
Blue58
1031618.1
1055213.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86310501001508158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
81Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.21.0
41.342.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 29.0
18.12.6
14.717.3
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
6434
#24
16.90.9
15.516.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9
red by 3.7
13.32.4
11.914.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
9189
#18
11.51.0
12.012.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 4.7
6.82.4
4.46.8
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed