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Red36
958715.0
1050813.4
598520.9
Blue81
650820.8
453725.4
587615.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596040455055657075803681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#10
19Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
23Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
36Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
20.91.7
23.521.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
blue by 4.5
4537
#31
25.42.3
22.324.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Second
9587
#12
15.01.7
16.815.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 5.8
6508
#11
20.82.3
20.022.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
13.41.7
14.713.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
blue by 1.8
5876
#17
15.22.3
12.915.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned