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Red55
75839.5
477434.7
564810.4
Blue104
598811.0
712821.9
461359.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539602040608012014016055104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+27
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
55Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#13
34.70.9
34.934.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
blue by 24.7
59.40.6
56.457.0
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
Second
5648
#38
10.40.9
10.09.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 11.5
7128
#10
21.90.6
18.819.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Third
7583
#37
9.50.9
8.87.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
blue by 1.5
5988
#26
11.00.6
10.911.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned