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Red38
918911.5
533118.8
647619.1
Blue33
914612.6
1035010.0
1000222.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801001201403833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
38Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6476
#22
19.11.5
20.218.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 3.7
22.80.7
21.120.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
5331
#25
18.81.5
21.520.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
red by 6.1
9146
#33
12.60.7
12.111.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
9189
#18
11.51.5
12.911.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 1.5
10.00.7
7.97.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed